From: John Conover <john@email.johncon.com>
Subject: Re: DJIA Closed Above 10,000 Today
Date: 12 Dec 2003 04:28:33 -0000
BTW, as bragging rights go, look at:
http://www.johncon.com/john/correspondence/030423232715.15295.html
where the cumulative number of cases of SARS world wide was predicted
on April 22, 2003, to level out at a little under 9,000 confirmed
http://www.who.int/csr/sars/country/2003_07_11/en/
it was 8,437.
John
John Conover writes:
>
> The DJIA closed above 10,000 today, for the first time since May 24,
> 2002 when it closed at 10104.03. (At its maximum on January 14, 2000
> it closed at 11723.00.)
>
> And some bragging rights-look at:
>
> http://www.johncon.com/john/correspondence/020508170137.5425.html#addendum-decline
>
> third sentence below Figure VIII where it says the deviation of the DJIA
> past January 14, 2000, (when the DJIA was at its maximum,) would be:
>
> 2.71828182846 ** ((0.00017098538 * x) - (0.010988 * sqrt (x)))
>
> which has a minima 1,032 days past January 14, 2000; and that would be
> on November 11, 2002. The minimum actually occurred on October 9,
> 2002, (when the DJIA closed at 7286.27,) an error of only 33 calendar
> days. The projection was made-and posted on the Internet-on July 26,
> 2002.
>
> Granted, a 33 day error was a little bit of good fortune, too.
>
> John
>
> BTW, the US GDP section on the same page:
>
> http://www.johncon.com/john/correspondence/020508170137.5425.html#addendum-usgdp
>
> (look at the last sentence,) was a moderately accurate projection made
> at the same time, too. The projections on the California Gubernatorial
> race at:
>
> http://www.johncon.com/john/correspondence/020508170137.5425.html#appendixIII
>
> which were made 57 days before the recall election turned out to be
> quite accurate.
>
--
John Conover, john@email.johncon.com, http://www.johncon.com/