From: John Conover <john@email.johncon.com>
Subject: Subject: Quantitative Analysis of Non-Linear High Entropy Economic
Systems Addendum
Date: Tue, 06 Nov 2007 23:14:09 -0800
A new section was added-concerning the projection of election winners
from multi-candidate polls using a log-normal distribution as the polls
evolve over time.
It was prompted by the US 2008 Presidential Election, and illustrates
the large errors, (so large its "numerology,") when using a simple
fractal with Gaussian/normally distributed increments, instead of a
log-normal distribution.
John
http://www.johncon.com/john/correspondence/020508170137.5425.html#appendixVII
--
John Conover, john@email.johncon.com, http://www.johncon.com/