From: John Conover <john@email.johncon.com>
Subject: forwarded message from John Conover
Date: Thu, 17 Oct 1996 00:46:14 -0700
One of the United States greatest legacies to the posterity of western civilization; the phrase "creative accounting." John BTW, Accounting is interesting-like chemistry; the science of exceptions, depending on where you are. In the US, the way you calculate product cost is to take the cost of manufacturing and distribution operations, (fixed cost, variable cost, cost of sales, etc.,) per unit time, and divide it by the number of pieces manufactured in that time, ie., if everything remains the same, the product cost is the same, irregardless of the number of parts made. This is unique. The rest of the world calculates product cost on how much it would cost to manufacture one more piece of product, (ie., incremental cost, which in the electronics industry is virtually cost of sales,) ie., if everything remains the same, product costs decrease as the volume goes up. In the semiconductor industry, manufacturing is virtually all the cost of logistics-there is about a teaspoon of sand in your PC for the variable cost-with astronomical fixed cost. Once you have your fixed cost paid for the accounting period, the cost of producing one more IC is, essentially, the cost of sales. In the US, each IC made in a time period is loaded with a fraction of the fixed cost. In the rest of the world, not so. So, if you use Asian or European accounting theories, and sell the product in the US, it is called dumping-even though the costs of operations are the same. It also means that if you do international business, you will have to maintain two sets of books for taxation, and your profitability of the ROW will be better if you are an established producer, with large volumes, and much worse if you are just entering the market. This is why the Japanese always run a semiconductor facility at capacity, (actually, well the decreasing returns,) and then sell the product for the best price they can get, AKA, dumping. And this is what makes DRAM pricing for your PC fluctuate by a factor of 5 between good times and bad times. (Case in point? in June 1994, 8 meg 70ns Toshiba simms cost about 340 bucks. In June of 1995, they were 60 bucks. And now rising.) The Orient has always used incremental costs, but the EC has only used it for about a decade, or so. The reason for the change was the works by the economist Brian Arthur at Stanford, on incremental returns, (adopted as SOP in the EC by no later than 1999.) It is more expedient, (mathematically from a statistical point of view,) to relate incremental costs to incremental returns. And, in case you are curious, it can be shown that using incremental statistical mechanics, (ie., fractal analysis,) that an economy can grow. Unfortunately, if you use fixed cost analysis, it can be shown that an economy can not grow. A bit of an enigmatic contradiction since we know that, statistically, economies do grow. (Arthur's PHD dissertation was on macroscopic policy of the growth of emerging economies. You can catch it at http://www.lebra.stanford.edu, or the Santa Fe Institute at http://www.santafe.edu.) BTW, in Europe, you can also add the incremental cost of maintenence into your product. If you buy a Grundig TV, by legal mandate it is supposed to last 10 years, and the manufacturer is responsible for 10 years. If it breaks, the service call, all parts, etc., are picked up by the manufacturer. You can add an estimate of this into your tax liabilities as a cost of doing business, and then adjust your taxes a decade from now. Funny how accounting and business theories differ around the world. -- John Conover, john@email.johncon.com, http://www.johncon.com/