From: John Conover <john@email.johncon.com>
Subject: Previous 2 archive articles.
Date: 26 Nov 1998 20:42:30 -0000
This month marks the 4.3 year anniversary of the first time Linux got
into the major media/press.
Of concern is whether the Linux "phenomena" is a fad/bubble, or its a
long term contender in the marketplace. An exponential growth in
perception for 4.3 years gives a 50/50 chance that it is a long term
contender.
50% of stuff that is announced in the press has a life-cycle that is
less than 4.3 years, when measured on an annual time scale, and, 50%
more.
John
BTW, see, the Internet makes this market research stuff easy. A market
researcher should say that Linux is a viable contender in the
marketplace at this point. Those that said it a year ago are lucky it
worked out for them-it was a risky assessment. Those that will say it
next year missed the opportunity.
--
John Conover, john@email.johncon.com, http://www.johncon.com/